Football Betting

Afflalo helps Denver dominate Phoenix

Basketball Betting Lines

02/14/2012 - Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Aaron Afflalo scored 20 points on 7-for-11 shooting, and the Denver Nuggets led wire-to-wire as they knocked off the Phoenix Suns, 109-92, at Pepsi Center on Tuesday.

Six Nuggets scored in double figures, including Ty Lawson's 17 points, Chris Andersen's 16, Kenneth Faried's 13, Al Harrington's 12 and Rudy Fernandez's 11. Denver won its second consecutive game after dropping its previous five.

Markieff Morris had 21 points, Michael Redd added 20 and Marcin Gortat contributed 10 points and 14 rebounds for the Suns, who dropped their second straight and third of their last four.

Denver shot 52 percent from the floor, while holding Phoenix to just 33 percent field goal shooting.


<< Ohio State downs Minnesota
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - William Buford had 24 points and Jared Sullinger chipped in 23 as No. 6 Ohio State downed Minnesota, 78-68, at Williams Arena on Tuesday. Buford and Sullinger each added eight rebounds and De

<< Harden lifts Thunder over Jazz
Oklahoma City, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - James Harden scored 22 points and dished out five assists off the bench, and the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Utah Jazz, 111-85, at Chesapeake Energy Arena on Tuesday. Kevin Durant had 21 poi

<< Nabokov, Islanders down Jets
Winnipeg, MB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Evgeni Nabokov stopped 37 shots to lift the New York Islanders to a 3-1 win over the Jets at MTS Centre. P.A. Parenteau had a goal and an assist while Matt Martin and Matt Moulson also scored for the Is

<< Spurs hang on to beat Pistons
Auburn Hills, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tim Duncan had 18 points and 13 rebounds, as the Spurs hung on for a 99-95 win over the Pistons on Tuesday. Tony Parker scored eight of his 14 points in the fourth quarter for the Spurs, who won their ei

<< Conley helps Grizzlies top Rockets
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Conley scored 21 points on 3-of-4 shooting from three-point range as the Grizzlies defeated the Rockets, 93-83, at FedEx Forum on Tuesday. Memphis had five scorers in double figures, including

Red Wings set home winning streak record >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Red Wings now hold the NHL record for most consecutive home wins thanks to a 3-1 win over the Dallas Stars at Joe Louis Arena. The last loss the Red Wings suffered in front of the home c

Flames stay hot against Toronto >>
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miikka Kiprusoff made 41 saves, backstopping the Calgary Flames to a convincing 5-1 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Saddledome. Calgary's top-line trio of Olli Jokinen, Alex Tanguay and J

Gasol leads Lakers over Hawks >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pau Gasol had 20 points, doubling up Kobe Bryant, and the Los Angeles Lakers returned home with an 86-78 win over the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night. Bryant had 10 points on 5-of-18 shooting without

Young, Wizards top Blazers >>
Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nick Young dropped in a game-high 35 points as the Washington Wizards posted back-to-back wins for the first time this season with a 124-109 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. John Wall added

Russell upsets Young at SAP Open >>
San Jose, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Russell upset seventh-seeded Donald Young in straight sets Tuesday in the first round of the $531,000 SAP Open. Russell, 33, knocked off Young in just under 92 minutes with a 6-1, 7-6 (8-6) victory

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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